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xPTS System Finale / Burnley vs City

Graeme Written on Monday, December 2nd, 2019

It was a 1-3 week last week with the xPts system.

It managed to get the Dortmund result correct as they won over Hertha, although it was a tad tight.

It lost with Villarreal beating Valencia. Villarreal actually did a solid job and were honestly probably the better team. Just bad luck there.

Osasuna or Draw as a disappointing one. Yet again Osasuna were the beatter team but Bilboa beat them 2-1 even though Osasuna were at home. Gutting that one.

Then we had Parma or draw against Milan and that one didn’t pan out. While Milan scored in the 88th minute to win the game 1-0, that’s one where I won’t attribute it to bad luck. Milan deserved to win that game.

So a disappointing 1-3 week. Here’s where we stand:

Week 1 Results: 3-4 (+0.42u)
Week 2 Results: 2-6 (-2.30u)
Week 3 Results: 4-6 (+2.8u)
Week 4 Results: 5-0 (+4.3u)
Week 5 Results: 2-2 (+0.75u)
Week 6 Results: 1-3 (-1.5u)
Week 7 Results: 4-4 (+1.34u)
Week 8 Results: 3-3 (+0.88u)
Week 9 Results: 2–9 (-4.19u)
Week 10 Results: 2-2 (-0.77u)

Total: 28-39 (+1.73u)

10 weeks for not even a unit profit ha. But it’s been fun. To be honest it’s just an experimental system to gather data so I mean if we end up breakeven or slightly losing I’m fine with it. That week 9 one is still crushing though.

I think with the xPTs system I’m just going to call it quits from now in regards to public posting. I’ve got a solid amount of data to see where I am at and it will help me going forward for sure. Hope you all enjoyed reading it and I hope to get some time over Christmas to really go through the data, and then let you know what I have learned from it.

One quick tip for tomorrow:

Burnley vs Man City Betting Tips:

Burnley come into this game in 10th position of the league. They’re slightly better at home with 4 wins in 7 games which puts them 7th in the home form table. City are City of course but they’re a bit sloppy away this season.

They have conceded 10 goals away so far and come into this on the back of a road game against Newcastle where they had that tough draw.

Burnley had that tough loss to Crystal Palace which was a surprise. However they have did solid before then.

At home they average 1.57 goals per game while City concede 1.43 goals per game away.

Like with any Man City game, we have to assume they’re going to score. The question here is if Burnley are able to and I think they will. Their offense isn’t too bad at all and I like them at home. They’ll make a game of this one.

I like Burnley to get that goal and we’ll back BTTS. Burnley will hopefully smell blood after that City result against Newcastle.

Also man – can I just say how fun it was to write a football tip again? Felt great ha. Back in routine now. Thanks for your patience.

3u on Both Teams to Score. 1.95 odds, bet it at Bovada - get a $250 free welcome bonus

(Odds on this page are correct as of 2019/12/02 4:11:19 PM EST but are subject to change)

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Tailing the Burnley-City tips, btts

From Ligue 1
Bordeaux to win 1.95
Lyon to win 2.01


Bordeaux are an interesting one as on the xPTs system they are terrible at home and have been lucky. But Nimes aren’t good. I think Bordeaux can take that one.

And I love that Lyon pick. Lille struggle away. Will follow you on that one.


I took over 3 cards in Burnley vs City game …

During the last 5 matches 4 for hosts and 2 for visitors saw 3 or more cards in it. Also this game’s ref have shown card atleast 3 times in 7 of his last 8 matches … Therefore i hope that at home Burnley does everything in their power so referee cant keep cards in his pocket lol …


Hey Graeme, actually Osasuna beat espanyol 4-2 this past weekend!? Maybe you mixed the weeks? osasuna lost to bilboa 2-1 but it was on 24/11!

Its good to have you back!!