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xPTS Betting System Week 8

Graeme Written on Wednesday, November 6th, 2019

Week 6 of the xPTS Betting System has came and went.

Here were the results from last week:

Win +1.25u – Everton/Spurs Draw. This was a tad tight as Spurs needed to go down to 10 men AND Cenk Tosun needed a 97th minute goal but we’ll tkae it.

Win +0.66u – Brighton Win. A nice and easy victory by Brighton over Norwich as expected.

Win +0.53u – Osasuna Win. This was a thrilling game that Osasuna won 4-2 over Alaves.

Win +1.4u – Bremen/Freiburg Draw. This one made me happy as the system predicted these two were very even so the draw made sense. It DID require an inury time goal by Nils Petersen however. Funny how many of the xPTS system results have required an injury time goal.

Loss 0.5u – Spal/Sampdoria Draw. Speaking of injury time goals, Gianluca Caprari scored for Sampdoria in the 91st minute and they won 1-0. Hey it balances out. The fact that it was that close both in terms of result and play means it was the right bet.

Loss 0.5u – Montpellier to win. 2-2 draw with Metz. No injury time goals here and the draw seemed right. With Montpellier not winning yet on the road I probably should have intervened here and went for the draw.

Loss 0.5u – Man Utd to win. I told y’all I didn’t want to back them. Had to after that Norwich one. Such a frustrating team.

Loss 1u – Lokomotiv Moscow to win. Very surprised as FC Ufa got the win here. They DID need a penalty but still very disappointing.

Here’s the updated stats:

Week 1 Results: 3-4 (+0.42u)
Week 2 Results: 2-6 (-2.30u)
Week 3 Results: 4-6 (+2.8u)
Week 4 Results: 5-0 (+4.3u)
Week 5 Results: 2-2 (+0.75u)
Week 6 Results: 1-3 (-1.5u)
Week 7 Results: 4-4 (+1.34u)

Total: 21-25 (+5.81u)

Let’s get onto Week 8:

xPTS Betting System Week 8:

Weird week where I am running these and not feeling super confident about many. We’ll see how this week goes but if it’s a bad one I may take a couple weeks off from the system to experiment.

Watford to win – 0.5u. Norwich continue to be terrible. I AM concerned that Watford cannot score though so that will be something to keep an eye on. 2.45 odds.

Burnley to win – 1u. Just a much better team than West Ham. Interestingly they struggle at home at the moment in the system so hopefully get a better performance in here. 2.25u.

Spain is an interesting league with the overall stats looking much like the xPTS table. When that happens it’s a case of looking for draws or home/road differences. Very curious if Mallorca (great home team) and Villarreal (great road team) cancel each other out. No plays sadly there.

Bologna to win -0.5u. Bologna continue to be the team to back. Away game and a bit tighter but 2.62 still represents value. I’d have them around 2.25 myself.

Sampdoria or Draw – 0.5u. They have a chance against Atalanta. 1.80 odds.

Lyon to beat Marseille – 0.5u. Marseille are no pushover but Lyon have value here. 2.55 odds.

Nantes to beat St Etienne – 0.5u. Again a tight one but I think Nantes have it. 2.05.

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